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Realistically, when does the GOP stand a chance of regaining power?

I’ve seen people say they will be back in 2010 or 2012, but it sounds like sports fans blindly cheering for their team. I’ve not heard a reason why except "because the other guy will fail," which there is no way to predict.

Historically, the party having to defend the most seats will usually lose a few in a midterm election. The Democrats have more house seats to defend, so the GOP could gain some ground in 2010, but not much. On the other hand, Republicans who came to power in 2004 on Bush’s coattails will have to defend their Senate seats–there are more GOP seats up than Democrats in 2010.

As of 2008, 36% of registered voters are NOT white. This number will only increase with each subsequent election. If Republicans are content to complain about how the liberals only want to help minorities, how do they expect to win without tapping into that portion of registered voters? Not to mention not reaching out to gay or urban voters at all?

For the sake of the GOP, is there any strategy or movement afoot to address 100% of the voters, or do people really believe they can survive with only appealing to evangelicals, white southerners, and fiscal conservatives?

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Wednesday, August 31st, 2011 2012 Survival

8 Comments to Realistically, when does the GOP stand a chance of regaining power?

romarti
August 31, 2011

I don’t believe the GOP will take control in 2010 but I think they will make some inroads. A large part of their difficulty this time was the Bush legacy. In 2 years the memories will have faded and the wounds won’t be as fresh. I am not making a guaranty, but the GOP could gain as many as 3 senate seats if everything goes well for them. As for 2012, with very few exceptions when the incumbent president is on the ticket, it is a referendum on him. Historically, current presidents do win, but Carter and Bush 41 might disagree with that statement. I’m not saying how Obama will do in 4 years, but his GOP opponent’s entire campaign will be to list all the mistakes Obama has made while in office. If Obama wins in 2012, the democrats will add seats. If he loses, the GOP might also be able to take back the senate.

Thus far, the GOP does not have a message different from what they have always said. Thus far the RNC chair race seems to have 8 guys saying that the way to win in 2 years is to say the same thing McCain said and add "This time we mean it!" at the end of the stump speech. That alone won’t be enough, but if the democrats don’t do well in power, it might just work.

Jay Z's Momma
August 31, 2011

2012… watch and see…bahb bahh bahh b ahhhh

Andres A
August 31, 2011

I think that whether Republicans can "come back"depends on whether Obama does a good or bad job. A perfect example of a Republican comeback= the early Clinton years.

SOUTH LAKE
August 31, 2011

It depends if America can wake up from the nightmare of socialism . The Republicans need to start acting like conservatives instead of like Democrats .

Acting like Democrats doesn’t make anybody happy . The conservatives hate it and the average Joe Democrat gets promised more goods and services from the Left wing so he isn’t going to change .

The average Democrat is so ignorant that they don’t know the Dems have controlled 80 % of the house and senate and 50 % of the presidencies during the past 50 years . This is not change , this is regression .

JSM is cool
August 31, 2011

When they stop preaching about God.
And Include more women and minorities.

Mike
August 31, 2011

If they get back to their fiscal conservatism of small federal government, fiscal responsibility, fight corruption in Washington instead of allowing corporate lobbyist to give capitalism a bad name, and shed their xenophobia, then they may have a good chance.

What does "helping minorities" actually mean with respect to the government? It sounds like playing favorite and that it not correct.

GODspeed for America
August 31, 2011

Hopefully never. I would like to see their party die off.

Grumpy
August 31, 2011

1. Genuinely conservative "minorities", urbanites, etc., will naturally seek out the GOP to implement their preferred policies.
2. Watering down the GOP conservative message to attract liberal voters doesn’t fool anybody and it drives away the "natural" conservatives.
3. Liberals do not vote for Republicans in Democratic clothing. Why settle for a cheap imitation?
4. People will tire of Demo hype and return again to solid conservative leadership again just like a natural cycle. You just have to wait them out and keep your powder dry. It can be entertaining harassing the Dem’s while waiting.

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